Harry Potter - Odds and overall card numbers

[Guest]

[Roz]

Pack Stated Odds

Rare chase cards: 1:5
Costume or prop cards 1:24
Autograph cards 1:48

Calculated odds:

Harry's Black Cloak (100) 1 in 1200
Harry's Tee shirt (600) 1 in 200
Harry's Costume (750) 1 in 160
Ron's Costume (100) 1 in 1200
Hermione's Pink Sweater (450) 1 in 267
Hermione's Robe (900) 1 in 133
George Weasley Red Robe (1300) 1 in 92

Total Costume cards = 4200


Exploding Bon Bons (96) 1 in 1250
Daily Prophet (200) 1 in 600
Zonko's Bag (300) 1 in 400
Dervish and Banges Bag (484) 1 in 248
Honey Dukes Bag (434) 1 in 276
Black Pepper imps (90) 1 in 1333
Permission Form (100) 1 in 1200
SpindleLikO'RishSpiders (70) 1 in 1714
Chocolate Frog (86) 1 in 1395

Total Prop cards in packs = 1860

Pear Tree Leaves (not in boxes) 30
Honeydukes Candy (not in boxes) 75
UKC1 ; a remake of the Harry Potter cloak (100) card but this time limited to 500 (Exclusive UK card from Cards Inc distributed cases, one in each case). If Cards Inc had 250 cases where have the other 250 cards gone?

Total memorabilia 6060

There are 2500 autographs in total; (one in every 2 boxes/48 packs)

Total inserts in packs 8560

8560/5000 = 1.712 inserts per box (plus case topper)

Although that would mean 17 inserts a case, but in experience Gimli reckons more like 14 a case (as some are kept back by artbox in case people open packs and find damaged cards)

[cjdmadcow]

Oooo, it's very blue around here, where's my glasses ? Here they are  

I've opened 2 cases so far with the following results :

CASE TOPPER
Harry Potter logo (100)
Wanted Poster (200)

AUTO'S
1 x Gambon / Dumbledore
2 x Fudge / Hardy
2 x Ginny Weasley / Wright
1 x Fred Weasley / Phelps
3 x George Weasley / Phelps
2 x Longbottom / Lewis

Costume
2 x Hermione Pink Sweatshirt (#181 & 364)
3 x Harry's Grey T-Shirt (#130, 532 & 536)
2 x Harry's Black Robe (#207 & 456)
3 x Hermione's Black Robe (#215, 350 & 352)
5 x George's Red Robe (#299, 571, 870, 1085 & 1268)

PROPS
2 x Chocolate Frog (#55 & 72/86)
3 x Zonko's Bag (#101, 203 & 299/300)
1 x Honeydukes Bag (#210/434)
1 x Dervish & Banges Bag (016/484)

Giving a grand total of :

11 Autograph cards
15 costumes cards
7 prop cards

or 33 premium inserts in 20 boxes = 1.65 per box

And that is the result of the CJD jury (so far)

CJD
eBay id : Infinitycards - For all your Harry Potter requirements
http://stores.ebay.co.uk/Infinity-Cards_W0QQsspagenameZL2QQtZkm

[gimli]

Hi managed to collate my 5 cases into one post to help the debate

1 x Ron's Costume 100
1 x Harry's Black Cloak 100
6 x Harry T Shirt 600
5 x Harry Costume 750
3 x Hermione Pink Sweater 450
8 x Hermione Robe 900
9 x George Weasley Quidditch Robe 1300

Prop cards

0 x Exploding Bon Bons 96
0 x Daily Prophet 200
2 x Zonk's Bag 300
6 x Dervish And Banges Bag 484
3 x Honey Dukes Bag 434
1 x Black Pepper Imps 90
1 x Permission Form 100
1 x Spindle's Lick O Rish Spiders 70
0 x Chocolate Frog 86

Autographs

1 x Gary Oldman As Sirius Black
1 x David Thewlis As Remus Lupin
2 x Robert Hardy As Cornelius Fudge
1 x Emma Watson As Hermione Granger
3 x Bonnie Wright As Ginny Weasley
4 x Michael Gambon As Albus Dumbledore
2 x Matthew Lewis As Neville Longbottom
3 x Olivier Phelps As George Weasley
3 x James Phelps As Fred Weasley
5 x Julie Christie As Madam Rosmerta (Redemption)

Case Toppers

2 x wanted posters
3 x dementors
0 x logo

by the way hi all glad to find somewhere new to talk to you all  

[ferdinand_the_yak]

I am confused, aren't the inserts for the Harry robe out of 750? Or is this the elusive limited edition one we've heard about but has not been verified (to my knowledge) Are there 2 cloaks?  

[gimli]

yes there are 2 black harry costume cards and I have pulled both so they do exist:) and one is limited to 100 and the other 750 but they both have the same type of material

[ferdinand_the_yak]

What, did he have a potions explosion over one which made it smelly and less (or more, depending) valuable ?

[Roz]

He hee!

Although that's a bit rough isn't it? In all the costumes Harry is wearing to have 2 the same in the cards?

Although   maybe it will take a woman to know the differences in the fabrics  

[ztaylork]

Here is what I got from my 1st case:

Wanted Case Topper

Costumes
2 x Harry Costume 750
1 x Hermione Pink Sweater 450
2 x Hermione Robe 900
1 x George Weasley Quidditch Robe 1300

Prop cards

1 x Zonk's Bag 300 (really cool piece)
1 x Dervish And Banges Bag 484
1 x Honey Dukes Bag 434

Autographs

1 x David Thewlis As Remus Lupin
1 x Bonnie Wright As Ginny Weasley
1 x James Phelps As Fred Weasley
1 x Julie Christie As Madam Rosmerta (Redemption)

Not to bad, hoped for a rare prop card, but Lupin seems to be a harder pull.  

ztaylork

[gimli]

interestingly I had a pack in the boxes with 3 inserts in it A rosmerta auto redemption, A harry 750 costume and a foil plus in another pack in the same box got a 3rd insert a Prop card another devish and bangs

one of my boxes was badly put together two I had a pack with 12 cards and a pack with 2 cards but it was bare no Costume auto or prop

[Roz]

Sounds bad Gimli!

So overall in your 5 cases how many "bare" boxes have you had - at one time I was hearing guestimates of one per case!

[gimli]

3 boxes in 5 cases but I always got plenty 14/15 inserts per case

[Harbottle]

Hi Guys, Are there cases still out there or have they all been snapped up? Cheers, steve

[samwise16]

i dunno has richard (MPC) got any left roz

[Roz]

Harbottle - try Richard Wheat -

http://www.my-preciousss-collectables.com/

(the telephone number is on his site!)

Ring tonight or early tomorrow morning as he's picked up his cases today (I think) and he'll be cracking them open left right and centre!

[samwise16]

i envy richard!   well is still am hoping to buy some more boxes if i wait over 2 weeks then i wont try but i hope to snag a few cheap.   no harm in trying

[ztaylork]

Hi,

Just opened my secon case and it was  a fun one.  Here are the results


Costumes

1 x Harry T Shirt 600
2 x Harry Costume 750
1 x Hermione Pink Sweater 450
1 x Hermione Robe 900
2 x George Weasley Quidditch Robe 1300

Prop cards

2 x Zonk's Bag 300
1 x Dervish And Banges Bag 484
1 x Honey Dukes Bag 434
1 x Black Pepper Imps 90


Autographs


1 x David Thewlis As Remus Lupin
1 x Emma Watson As Hermione Granger
1 x Matthew Lewis As Neville Longbottom
1 x Olivier Phelps As George Weasley
1 x Julie Christie As Madam Rosmerta (Redemption)

Much better than my first case, as I pulled a good prop card and an Emma Watson autograph!!

ztaylork

[samwise16]

My god i like that case, plenty of money to be made from that!  

[gimli]

Little voice in head: must not buy any more resistance is futile!
me: no must resist Got no money
Little voice in head: thats what credit cards are for
Me: Must pay off debt
Little voice in head: Go on just one more
Me: I am not addicted I could give up when ever I wanted

[Harbottle]

I ordered two cases from Potomac and received one today( the other should have been with it but has gone AWOL with DHL, I've spent hours trying to sort things out( tracking seemed a foreign word to customer services!), and it looks like we've found the little urchin and I should get it tomorrow - and I thought Parcelforce sucked!) Anyway I thought with this luck I was in for a stinker, but maybe the luck virus is returning - here was the breakdown( It starts bad but gets worse before, at long last, getting better!).

Props ( 3 ) - Zonkos bag(1), Honeyduke Bag(1), Dervishes and
                    Bangers bag(1)

Costumes ( 5 ) - Harry's T-shirt(1) and George's Costume (4)

At this stage all sounds bad but then the autos save the day.

Autographs ( 6 ) - Sirius Black(2) Hermoine(1) Madam Rosmerta  
                             redemption(1) Longbottom(1) F. Weasley(1)


I'll let you know when the other case gets here, although I lack faith in the postal services thesedays(apologies to anyone who works for said companies, I'm sure you're great )

[Roz]

Me? I am not addicted I could give up when ever I wanted

*cough* yeah me too